Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 885.956349 1010.181350 1152.086872 1327.618272 1540.907336 1794.282889 2.122020e+03
2024-10-20 693.990307 846.564794 1037.991109 1300.997046 1661.526350 2151.980753 2.895087e+03
2024-10-27 588.468712 744.669868 951.107609 1252.479718 1696.848529 2355.906432 3.467884e+03
2024-11-03 541.497099 708.713837 940.681009 1299.614442 1868.562855 2791.226547 4.541852e+03
2024-11-10 500.632910 673.216927 922.259988 1326.811157 2009.322310 3208.409665 5.750813e+03
2024-11-17 465.596912 640.676861 902.026197 1345.081452 2135.813738 3633.045969 7.174740e+03
2024-11-24 428.332388 600.105483 863.467532 1325.525590 2189.272733 3932.222707 8.478061e+03
2024-12-01 405.781764 579.214697 852.654832 1350.214836 2328.334255 4447.947504 1.064973e+04
2024-12-08 389.895124 566.823113 853.597342 1394.953574 2515.867282 5136.865064 1.386867e+04
2024-12-15 370.929807 547.486623 840.338823 1410.661982 2645.890317 5737.769120 1.738989e+04
2024-12-22 349.241517 521.699930 813.064054 1394.951021 2702.765432 6170.736464 2.076320e+04
2024-12-29 336.065510 508.972254 807.356525 1421.045271 2862.474669 6964.697603 2.688296e+04
2025-01-05 313.092909 478.777737 769.009132 1378.590017 2856.932490 7292.272337 3.141506e+04
2025-01-12 293.893285 453.878386 738.471058 1349.384767 2881.812117 7749.432335 3.788889e+04
2025-01-19 274.129545 426.470985 700.592985 1298.760740 2838.324802 7951.277092 4.317827e+04
2025-01-26 267.949183 422.684336 707.261729 1348.170639 3083.033648 9386.707223 6.421220e+04
2025-02-02 259.867538 414.777994 705.024468 1376.766203 3277.756529 10778.784180 9.352034e+04
2025-02-09 251.422839 405.546881 699.202355 1395.959305 3451.052317 12232.184209 1.373951e+05
2025-02-16 239.807304 389.612578 678.353796 1375.410641 3492.401462 13078.583118 1.811650e+05
2025-02-23 233.368409 382.999254 676.122381 1401.355916 3698.824604 15042.242978 2.968485e+05
2025-03-02 229.122114 380.248903 681.688653 1448.392166 3997.760459 17959.707538 5.901830e+05
2025-03-09 222.586517 372.608247 676.074230 1464.913365 4191.957621 20483.541558 1.143467e+06
2025-03-16 213.929375 360.278923 659.238362 1448.389454 4253.630139 22127.952190 1.997244e+06